AUTOMATIC FORECASTING SYSTEMS INC.

......DIAGNOSE and REMEDY regression model......

Adding A Function of Known Variables (Input Series)
Model component Function Details SECTIONAL / TIME SERIES
...... Use math function of input squares, sines etc Informatio Information
CAUSAL Use time lags of an input delays Not Applic Information
CAUSAL Use time leads of an input anticipated Not Applic Information
Adding A Function of Unknown Variables (Stochastic Series)
Model component Function Details SECTIONAL / TIME SERIES
MEMORY Account for Omitted Series (Use time lags of output) (ARIMA) Not Applic Information
Adding A Function of Unknown Variables (Deterministic Series)
Model component Function Details SECTIONAL / TIME SERIES
DUMMY One Time Pulse Unusual Value (0,0,0,0,1,0) Information Informatio
DUMMY Seasonal Pulse Pulse every S periods (0,0,0,1,0,0,0,1) Not Applic Information
DUMMY Level Shift Step Shift (0,0,0,1,1,1) Not Applic Information
DUMMY Time Trend (0,0,1,2,3,4,5,0) Not Applic Informatio
Transformations to Stabilize (Homogenize or Normalize) the Variance
Model component Function Details SECTIONAL / TIME SERIES
.... Dispersion Proportional to Mean Power Transform Information Informatio
.... Dispersion Non-Proportional to Mean Different Variances Informatio Informatio


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