2/12/02: Autobox is ported to Linux as a callable object
This version offers the ability to run a tournament of options leading to potentially different models in order to determine an optimum. Our tests have found this approach outperforms Autobox 4.0 significantly.
An alternative and creative accompanying feature is the "combined forecast" option. It uses the same tournament approach, but differs in that the forecast are driven from all of the models tried. Each of the forecasts for all of the "tried" models are weighted inverse to the standard deviation of their forecasts. This approach lets those models that fit the data better (smaller standard deviation the more the weight) have a more significant effect in driving the forecast.
This allows integration of Autobox into any C/Visual Basic applications.
We recently forged an partnership with i2 Technologies, Inc., a leading developer of supply chain optimization and decision support solutions. Through this agreement, i2 will be embedding the AUTOBOX forecasting algorithms into its Demand Planner solution for cases where customers require the use of a Box Jenkins approach. AUTOBOX is a state-of-the-art forecasting engine that uses Box-Jenkins modeling techniques enhanced by Intervention (Outlier Detection) schemes. These tools are both univariate and causal and can produce forecasts for large numbers of series with limited or no manual intervention.
On August 23
the Gartner Group released on study on
forecasting systems for production planning and control. AFS was cited as one
of a handful of companies with the forecasting technologies that will meet the
needs of technically aggressive corporations in the 1990's.
Email or phone
in your request for this article and we will be glad to send a copy to you.
David P.
Reilly, Sr. Vice President of AFS will be at:
IBF
8/21-8/22/03 Boston
IBF
10/27-10/28/03 Orlando
Cash
Management Conference 10/8-10/10/03 St. Petersberg
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